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Business Brief: To hike and to hold

Globe and Mail - Business - 2026-10-20

AI Summary

Markets are increasingly anticipating a Bank of Canada interest rate hike this month, despite mixed inflation data showing a slowdown excluding gasoline prices. Business sentiment has weakened, with more firms planning to pass on cost increases, while consumer spending plans have declined. A potential rate hike could impact variable mortgage rates and the Canadian dollar, while fixed-rate borrowers face upward pressure from rising bond yields.

Key takeaways

  • Markets now price in a high probability of a Bank of Canada rate hike.
  • Inflation excluding gas eased, but business sentiment and spending plans weakened.
  • A rate hike could increase variable mortgage rates and strengthen the loonie.

What this could mean for homebuyers

Mortgage news can affect fixed rates, variable-rate expectations, affordability, and buyer timing. Use this article as context, then compare today's rates or ask the AI Mortgage Advisor how it applies to your situation.

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