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Financial markets betting on BoC rate hike next week despite subdued inflation data

Globe and Mail - Business - 2026-10-19

AI Summary

Financial markets are now pricing in an approximately 80% chance of a Bank of Canada interest rate hike next week, influenced by hawkish remarks from Governor Tiff Macklem despite recent inflation data showing a slight increase to 3.1%. While headline inflation was driven by gasoline prices and core inflation remains subdued, concerns about sustained high energy costs and rising inflation expectations are prompting a shift in market sentiment. The Bank of Canada is considering whether to raise rates to influence inflation's path back towards the 2% target.

Key takeaways

  • Markets favor a Bank of Canada rate hike next week.
  • Governor Macklem's hawkish comments are driving market expectations.
  • Rising inflation expectations are a key concern for the BoC.

What this could mean for homebuyers

Mortgage news can affect fixed rates, variable-rate expectations, affordability, and buyer timing. Use this article as context, then compare today's rates or ask the AI Mortgage Advisor how it applies to your situation.

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